Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Colomos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.61) 6.33 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.9% 3.0% 34.4%
best score tips
1 - 5
5.1%
1 - 4
4.0%
2 - 5
3.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pachuca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas W 0 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.7% 2.7% 3.4%
1 0.1% 0.4% 1.2% 2.5% 4.0% 5.1%
2 0.0% 0.3% 0.9% 1.9% 3.0% 3.8%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlas WPachuca W
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack44%60%
Defense44%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlas W Pachuca W
HATHAT
Played891710919
Wins38%33%35%60%89%74%
Draws13%33%24%20%11%16%
Loses50%33%41%20%0%11%

Form: Atlas W: DLWDLDLLWWWWDLWLL • Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Atlas W Pachuca W
HATHAT
GF total161228253762
GF avg2.01.31.62.54.13.3
GA total171633151126
GA avg2.11.81.91.51.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlas WPachuca W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%82%95%79%
1.553%65%84%42%
2.512%35%58%5%
3.512%12%32%5%
4.56%0%32%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlas WPachuca W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricAtlas WPachuca W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricAtlas WPachuca W
Wins46
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-23-45-00-9
Biggest losses0-34-00-5—
Goals For6459
Goals Against4452

Model comparison

MetricAtlas WPachuca W
Form25%75%
Att42%58%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h7%93%
Goals26%74%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Pachuca W and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.80 @ 10Bet
Draw5.28 @ Pinnacle
Away1.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlas W = 1.49 (league 1.61), Pachuca W = 6.33 (league 1.36)

Pachuca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas W 0 0.0% 0.3% 0.8% 1.7% 2.7% 3.4%
1 0.1% 0.4% 1.2% 2.5% 4.0% 5.1%
2 0.0% 0.3% 0.9% 1.9% 3.0% 3.8%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.9%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.9% · Draw 3.0% · Away win 34.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1