Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Universitario
Expected Goals
4.51 (league 1.65)
0.21 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
best score tips
4 - 0
15.3%
5 - 0
13.8%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tigres UANL W | 0 | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 15.3% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 13.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tigres UANL W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 40% |
| Attack | 79% | 36% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tigres UANL W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 73% | 60% | 67% | 17% | 8% | 13% |
| Draws | 13% | 40% | 27% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 13% | 0% | 7% | 83% | 67% | 75% |
Tigres UANL WDWWWWWLWWWWDWWWWDWDDWDWWDWWDWL
Puebla WLLLLLLDLLWDLLLDLLLLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Tigres UANL W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 47 | 37 | 84 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 14 | 25 | 33 | 29 | 62 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tigres UANL W | Puebla W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 57% | 46% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 20% | 8% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 47% | 7% | 0% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tigres UANL W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tigres UANL W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tigres UANL W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 0-7 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | 0-6 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tigres UANL W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 95% | 5% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 73.5% | 26.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.05 @ 10Bet
Draw36.00 @ Betfair
Away71.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.12 @ 10Bet
Under 2.56.50 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes5.25 @ 10Bet
No1.45 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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