Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 03:06 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.61) 4.22 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 7.0% 63.6%
best score tips
1 - 4
7.1%
0 - 4
6.8%
1 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 0.5% 2.2% 4.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.7%
1 0.5% 2.3% 4.8% 6.8% 7.1% 6.0%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.7% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTijuana WAmérica W
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack91%82%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)20 | 45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tijuana W América W
HATHAT
Played81018121224
Wins25%20%22%67%67%67%
Draws25%10%17%17%17%17%
Loses50%70%61%17%17%17%

Form: Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLL • América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Tijuana W América W
HATHAT
GF total101222413071
GF avg1.31.21.23.42.53.0
GA total182038131528
GA avg2.32.02.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTijuana WAmérica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%83%92%63%
1.533%61%83%38%
2.517%28%50%17%
3.50%22%25%0%
4.50%11%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTijuana WAmérica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213639
Failed to score055112

Penalties

MetricTijuana WAmérica W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total17

Streaks

MetricTijuana WAmérica W
Wins18
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-311-01-5
Biggest losses1-65-30-23-2
Goals For23115
Goals Against6533

Model comparison

MetricTijuana WAmérica W
Form23%77%
Att53%47%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total26.2%73.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or América W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ 188Bet
Draw6.90 @ 188Bet
Away1.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.35 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tijuana W = 1.05 (league 1.61), América W = 4.22 (league 1.36)

América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 0.5% 2.2% 4.6% 6.4% 6.8% 5.7%
1 0.5% 2.3% 4.8% 6.8% 7.1% 6.0%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.5% 3.5% 3.7% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 7.0% · Away win 63.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1