Mon, Jan 12 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.07 (league 1.61) 1.22 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 2.7% 1.6%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.7%
4 - 1
4.7%
5 - 0
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
Querétaro W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 3.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachuca WQuerétaro W
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%75%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca W Querétaro W
HATHAT
Played1010209918
Wins60%90%75%22%11%17%
Draws20%10%15%33%11%22%
Loses20%0%10%44%78%61%

Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLW • Querétaro W: DLLLLDDLLLDWLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Pachuca W Querétaro W
HATHAT
GF total25406581018
GF avg2.54.03.30.91.11.0
GA total151126193554
GA avg1.51.11.32.13.93.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachuca WQuerétaro W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%75%61%89%
1.585%40%33%67%
2.560%5%6%39%
3.530%5%0%39%
4.530%5%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachuca WQuerétaro W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score101347

Penalties

MetricPachuca WQuerétaro W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPachuca WQuerétaro W
Wins62
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-92-10-3
Biggest losses0-50-711-0
Goals For5923
Goals Against52711

Model comparison

MetricPachuca WQuerétaro W
Form67%33%
Att68%32%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h85%15%
Goals74%26%
Total73.0%27.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Pachuca W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.06 @ 10Bet
Draw14.36 @ Pinnacle
Away31.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.55.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.26 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 6.07 (league 1.61), Querétaro W = 1.22 (league 1.35)

Querétaro W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 3.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 2.7% · Away win 1.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1