Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 21:45 • Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.61) 4.13 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 9.3% 59.3%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.7%
1 - 3
6.5%
1 - 5
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pachuca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 0.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.6% 3.8%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.7% 6.5% 6.7% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 1.9%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz Azul WPachuca W
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack86%100%
Defense79%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul W Pachuca W
HATHAT
Played121123111021
Wins42%45%43%64%90%76%
Draws25%27%26%18%10%14%
Loses33%27%30%18%0%10%

Form: Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDLWD • Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul W Pachuca W
HATHAT
GF total253055294069
GF avg2.12.72.42.64.03.3
GA total171532151126
GA avg1.41.41.41.41.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz Azul WPachuca W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%74%95%71%
1.557%48%86%38%
2.548%17%62%5%
3.539%0%33%5%
4.59%0%29%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz Azul WPachuca W
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score303101

Penalties

MetricCruz Azul WPachuca W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCruz Azul WPachuca W
Wins36
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-55-00-9
Biggest losses0-23-10-5—
Goals For4559
Goals Against3352

Model comparison

MetricCruz Azul WPachuca W
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Pachuca W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.93 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ Betano
Away2.38 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ 188Bet
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul W = 1.44 (league 1.61), Pachuca W = 4.13 (league 1.36)

Pachuca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 0.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.5% 4.6% 3.8%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.7% 6.5% 6.7% 5.5%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0%
3 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 1.9%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 9.3% · Away win 59.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1