Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 17:00 •
Estadio Akron
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.61)
0.96 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Santos Laguna W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara W | 0 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guadalajara W | Santos Laguna W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 29% | 43% |
| Defense | 71% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guadalajara W | Santos Laguna W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 45% | 58% | 52% | 33% | 0% | 16% |
| Draws | 36% | 8% | 22% | 11% | 20% | 16% |
| Loses | 18% | 33% | 26% | 56% | 80% | 68% |
Form: Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWWWDLWDWLLWD • Santos Laguna W: DLLWLLLLLDLLWDLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Guadalajara W | Santos Laguna W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 15 | 35 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 15 | 29 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guadalajara W | Santos Laguna W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 52% | 79% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 35% | 21% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 9% | 11% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 0% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guadalajara W | Santos Laguna W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guadalajara W | Santos Laguna W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guadalajara W | Santos Laguna W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-0 | 3-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guadalajara W | Santos Laguna W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 84% | 16% |
| Total | 71.3% | 28.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara W = 3.24 (league 1.61), Santos Laguna W = 0.96 (league 1.36)
| Santos Laguna W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guadalajara W | 0 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 7.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1