Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 02:00 • Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.66) 2.45 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.9% 15.1% 73.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.5%
0 - 1
11.1%
0 - 3
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético San Luis W 0 4.5% 11.1% 13.5% 11.0% 6.7% 3.3%
1 2.9% 7.2% 8.8% 7.2% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.0% 2.3% 2.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético San Luis WAmérica W
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack45%100%
Defense9%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético San Luis W América W
HATHAT
Played101020131326
Wins20%50%35%69%62%65%
Draws40%10%25%15%23%19%
Loses40%40%40%15%15%15%

Form: Atlético San Luis W: LLWLWDWWWDLDWLDLWLDL • América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Atlético San Luis W América W
HATHAT
GF total91625473077
GF avg0.91.61.33.62.33.0
GA total141731131528
GA avg1.41.71.61.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético San Luis WAmérica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%75%88%58%
1.535%40%81%35%
2.515%20%50%15%
3.55%10%27%0%
4.55%10%19%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético San Luis WAmérica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets2357411
Failed to score538123

Penalties

MetricAtlético San Luis WAmérica W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total07

Streaks

MetricAtlético San Luis WAmérica W
Wins38
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-611-01-5
Biggest losses0-35-00-23-2
Goals For36115
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricAtlético San Luis WAmérica W
Form33%67%
Att31%69%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h7%93%
Goals18%82%
Total24.0%76.0%

Advice: Winner : América W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home15.00 @ Bet365
Draw8.73 @ Pinnacle
Away1.17 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlético San Luis W = 0.65 (league 1.66), América W = 2.45 (league 1.32)

América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético San Luis W 0 4.5% 11.1% 13.5% 11.0% 6.7% 3.3%
1 2.9% 7.2% 8.8% 7.2% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.0% 2.3% 2.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 73.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1