Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 03:06 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.61) 1.63 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 24.7% 52.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Juárez W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 7.5% 12.2% 10.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.4% 5.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTijuana WJuárez W
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack73%36%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tijuana W Juárez W
HATHAT
Played91120121022
Wins22%27%25%58%20%41%
Draws33%9%20%25%40%32%
Loses44%64%55%17%40%27%

Form: Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLLDW • Juárez W: DWLWWLDWDLWDLDWDWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Tijuana W Juárez W
HATHAT
GF total101424171128
GF avg1.11.31.21.41.11.3
GA total18213971421
GA avg2.01.92.00.61.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTijuana WJuárez W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%68%50%
1.535%55%50%23%
2.515%25%5%18%
3.50%20%5%5%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTijuana WJuárez W
HATHAT
Clean sheets3147411
Failed to score156347

Penalties

MetricTijuana WJuárez W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricTijuana WJuárez W
Wins12
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-65-32-34-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against6534

Model comparison

MetricTijuana WJuárez W
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Juárez W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tijuana W = 0.96 (league 1.61), Juárez W = 1.63 (league 1.35)

Juárez W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 7.5% 12.2% 10.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.4% 5.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 52.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1