Thu, Jan 22 2026 • 00:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.61) 1.84 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.5% 22.8% 51.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 4.8% 8.8% 8.1% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.3% 5.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca WTigres UANL W
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack91%100%
Defense36%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
Played111122121325
Wins73%45%59%75%62%68%
Draws9%45%27%17%38%28%
Loses18%9%14%8%0%4%

Form: Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWW • Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWDWWWWDWDDWDWWD

League goals

Metric Toluca W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
GF total261945403373
GF avg2.41.72.03.32.52.9
GA total11132471118
GA avg1.01.21.10.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca WTigres UANL W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%64%92%48%
1.564%27%72%16%
2.527%14%48%8%
3.514%5%36%0%
4.59%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca WTigres UANL W
HATHAT
Clean sheets5387613
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricToluca WTigres UANL W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricToluca WTigres UANL W
Wins55
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-39-00-7
Biggest losses0-24-32-3—
Goals For6397
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricToluca WTigres UANL W
Form48%52%
Att48%52%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h7%93%
Goals8%92%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tigres UANL W

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.85 @ 10Bet
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toluca W = 1.20 (league 1.61), Tigres UANL W = 1.84 (league 1.36)

Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 4.8% 8.8% 8.1% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.3% 5.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.5% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 51.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1