Thu, Jan 22 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Corona
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.61)
2.02 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.7% | 21.5% | 49.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| León W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santos Laguna W | 0 | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | León W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 43% | 36% |
| Defense | 14% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | León W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 16% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Draws | 11% | 20% | 16% | 22% | 10% | 16% |
| Loses | 56% | 80% | 68% | 44% | 40% | 42% |
Form: Santos Laguna W: DLLWLLLLLDLLWDLWLLL • León W: DWLDLWDWWLWWLWLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | León W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 15 | 29 | 44 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santos Laguna W | León W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 89% | 74% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 63% | 53% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 37% | 26% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 21% | 11% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 16% | 5% | 16% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | León W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | León W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | León W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 5-0 | 0-5 | 9-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | León W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or León W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santos Laguna W = 1.42 (league 1.61), León W = 2.02 (league 1.35)
| León W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santos Laguna W | 0 | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 49.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1