Mon, Jan 26 2026 • 23:00 •
Estadio La Corregidora
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.62)
2.51 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.7% | 14.2% | 74.9% |
best score tips
0 - 2
14.1%
0 - 3
11.8%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Querétaro W | 0 | 4.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Querétaro W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 60% |
| Attack | 13% | 56% |
| Defense | 0% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Querétaro W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 20% | 10% | 15% | 67% | 45% | 57% |
| Draws | 30% | 10% | 20% | 8% | 45% | 26% |
| Loses | 50% | 80% | 65% | 25% | 9% | 17% |
Form: Querétaro W: DLLLLDDLLLDWLWWLLLLL • Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Querétaro W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 19 | 46 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 20 | 39 | 59 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Querétaro W | Toluca W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 90% | 87% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 65% | 61% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 40% | 26% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 40% | 13% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 15% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Querétaro W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Querétaro W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Querétaro W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 6-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 11-0 | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 11 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Querétaro W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 18% | 82% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 35.2% | 64.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Toluca W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Querétaro W = 0.59 (league 1.62), Toluca W = 2.51 (league 1.36)
| Toluca W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Querétaro W | 0 | 4.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.7% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 74.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1