Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 01:06 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.62)
2.79 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.7% | 17.4% | 52.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.2%
1 - 3
6.7%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Monterrey W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| León W | 0 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | León W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 30% | 100% |
| Defense | 30% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | León W | Monterrey W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 30% | 45% | 38% | 67% | 55% | 61% |
| Draws | 30% | 18% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 13% |
| Loses | 40% | 36% | 38% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
Form: León W: DWLDLWDWWLWWLWLLWLLDD • Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | León W | Monterrey W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 20 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 21 | 19 | 40 | 12 | 19 | 31 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | León W | Monterrey W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 76% | 78% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 43% | 52% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 24% | 43% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 14% | 30% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 14% | 17% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | León W | Monterrey W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | León W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | León W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 9-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 9 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | León W | Monterrey W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 26.2% | 73.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Monterrey W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): León W = 1.79 (league 1.62), Monterrey W = 2.79 (league 1.36)
| Monterrey W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| León W | 0 | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 52.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1