Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio El Encanto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.66) 0.71 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.5% 26.9% 18.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán W 0 11.6% 8.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.9% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlán WNecaxa W
Played55
Form47%0%
Attack27%5%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.222 | 4.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán W Necaxa W
HATHAT
Played121022111122
Wins17%0%9%9%9%9%
Draws17%10%14%18%0%9%
Loses67%90%77%73%91%82%

Form: Mazatlán W: LLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLLWWLDL • Necaxa W: WLLDLDLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Mazatlán W Necaxa W
HATHAT
GF total105157310
GF avg0.80.50.70.60.30.5
GA total373269293362
GA avg3.13.23.12.63.02.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlán WNecaxa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%100%27%100%
1.59%77%14%59%
2.55%55%5%50%
3.50%36%0%41%
4.50%23%0%23%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlán WNecaxa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score55107916

Penalties

MetricMazatlán WNecaxa W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMazatlán WNecaxa W
Wins21
Draws11
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-11-2
Biggest losses0-96-00-66-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against9666

Model comparison

MetricMazatlán WNecaxa W
Form100%0%
Att86%14%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total67.6%32.4%

Advice: Double chance : Mazatlán W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away5.10 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán W = 1.45 (league 1.66), Necaxa W = 0.71 (league 1.32)

Necaxa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán W 0 11.6% 8.2% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.9% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 18.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1