Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio El Encanto
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.66)
0.70 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.6% | 26.8% | 18.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Necaxa W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazatlán W | 0 | 11.6% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Necaxa W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 0% |
| Attack | 27% | 5% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 22 | 4.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Necaxa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 17% | 0% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Draws | 17% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 0% | 9% |
| Loses | 67% | 90% | 77% | 73% | 91% | 82% |
Mazatlán WLLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLLWWLDL
Necaxa WWLLDLDLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Necaxa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 37 | 32 | 69 | 29 | 33 | 62 |
| GA avg | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mazatlán W | Necaxa W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 100% | 27% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 77% | 14% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 55% | 5% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 36% | 0% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 23% | 0% | 23% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Necaxa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Necaxa W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Necaxa W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-9 | 6-0 | 0-6 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Necaxa W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 67.6% | 32.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away5.10 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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