Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 03:06 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.66) 0.76 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.6% 25.0% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 9.5% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 11.5% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTijuana WPuebla W
Played55
Form47%0%
Attack41%9%
Defense55%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 219 | 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tijuana W Puebla W
HATHAT
Played101222101121
Wins20%33%27%0%9%5%
Draws30%8%18%0%27%14%
Loses50%58%55%100%64%81%

Form: Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLLDWLW • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDLLLDLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Tijuana W Puebla W
HATHAT
GF total111728459
GF avg1.11.41.30.40.50.4
GA total202343322658
GA avg2.01.92.03.22.42.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTijuana WPuebla W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%43%95%
1.536%59%0%71%
2.518%23%0%48%
3.50%18%0%29%
4.50%9%0%19%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTijuana WPuebla W
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score1566612

Penalties

MetricTijuana WPuebla W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTijuana WPuebla W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-3—0-1
Biggest losses1-65-30-67-0
Goals For2311
Goals Against6567

Model comparison

MetricTijuana WPuebla W
Form100%0%
Att82%18%
Def66%34%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h85%15%
Goals61%39%
Total73.2%26.8%

Advice: Double chance : Tijuana W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ 188Bet
Draw8.23 @ Pinnacle
Away18.75 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tijuana W = 1.59 (league 1.66), Puebla W = 0.76 (league 1.32)

Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 9.5% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.2% 11.5% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.4% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 17.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1