Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 17:00 • Estadio Akron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.66) 1.25 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 22.8% 25.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
León W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 4.5% 5.7% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.4% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.6% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara WLeón W
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack36%9%
Defense95%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara W León W
HATHAT
Played131326111122
Wins54%62%58%27%45%36%
Draws31%8%19%36%18%27%
Loses15%31%23%36%36%36%

Form: Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWWWDLWDWLLWDWWW • León W: DWLDLWDWWLWWLWLLWLLDDD

League goals

Metric Guadalajara W León W
HATHAT
GF total231841181634
GF avg1.81.41.61.61.51.5
GA total141024221941
GA avg1.10.80.92.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara WLeón W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%73%77%
1.550%31%45%41%
2.512%8%23%23%
3.58%4%9%14%
4.50%0%5%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara WLeón W
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713235
Failed to score123246

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara WLeón W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara WLeón W
Wins52
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-35-00-3
Biggest losses2-42-00-59-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against4259

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara WLeón W
Form81%19%
Att80%20%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total79.5%20.5%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.74 @ Pinnacle
Away7.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara W = 1.84 (league 1.66), León W = 1.25 (league 1.32)

León W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 4.5% 5.7% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.4% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.6% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 25.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1