Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Azteca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.09 (league 1.67) 1.30 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.5% 8.8% 6.7%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.9%
3 - 1
6.8%
5 - 1
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Pumas UNAM W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
2 3.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmérica WPumas UNAM W
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack70%50%
Defense95%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric América W Pumas UNAM W
HATHAT
Played141428121022
Wins71%64%68%58%40%50%
Draws14%21%18%8%20%14%
Loses14%14%14%33%40%36%

Form: América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWWDLWDWWW • Pumas UNAM W: WWDWWLWWLLLWLLLDLWDWWW

League goals

Metric América W Pumas UNAM W
HATHAT
GF total513283261945
GF avg3.62.33.02.21.92.0
GA total131528151934
GA avg0.91.11.01.31.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmérica WPumas UNAM W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%54%95%68%
1.582%32%50%45%
2.550%14%36%23%
3.529%0%18%14%
4.518%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmérica WPumas UNAM W
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513527
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricAmérica WPumas UNAM W
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total81

Streaks

MetricAmérica WPumas UNAM W
Wins82
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-01-54-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-23-45-1
Goals For11545
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricAmérica WPumas UNAM W
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h93%7%
Goals70%30%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Winner : América W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ William Hill
Draw6.50 @ Betfair
Away10.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.28 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): América W = 4.09 (league 1.67), Pumas UNAM W = 1.30 (league 1.31)

Pumas UNAM W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
2 3.8% 5.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 6.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
5 4.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 8.8% · Away win 6.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1