Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 03:00 • Estadio Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.78 (league 1.66) 1.14 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 15.4% 12.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL W 0 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTigres UANL WCruz Azul W
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack63%32%
Defense68%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tigres UANL W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
Played131528141327
Wins77%60%68%50%38%44%
Draws15%40%29%21%31%26%
Loses8%0%4%29%31%30%

Form: Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWDWWWWDWDDWDWWDWWD • Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDLWDWLDW

League goals

Metric Tigres UANL W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
GF total433780293261
GF avg3.32.52.92.12.52.3
GA total81422181836
GA avg0.60.90.81.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTigres UANL WCruz Azul W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%54%89%74%
1.575%18%52%44%
2.546%7%44%15%
3.532%0%33%0%
4.518%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTigres UANL WCruz Azul W
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613437
Failed to score112303

Penalties

MetricTigres UANL WCruz Azul W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricTigres UANL WCruz Azul W
Wins53
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-00-74-00-5
Biggest losses2-3—0-23-1
Goals For9745
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricTigres UANL WCruz Azul W
Form58%42%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Tigres UANL W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.70 @ Unibet
Away6.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tigres UANL W = 2.78 (league 1.66), Cruz Azul W = 1.14 (league 1.32)

Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tigres UANL W 0 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.7% 8.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.1% 8.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 15.4% · Away win 12.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1