Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 02:00 • Cancha El Barrial
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.98 (league 1.66) 1.06 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.8% 13.6% 10.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tijuana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey W 0 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.8% 8.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterrey WTijuana W
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack78%50%
Defense83%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey W Tijuana W
HATHAT
Played121325111223
Wins67%54%60%27%33%30%
Draws17%15%16%27%8%17%
Loses17%31%24%45%58%52%

Form: Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWDLWWWWDW • Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLLDWLWW

League goals

Metric Monterrey W Tijuana W
HATHAT
GF total312657141731
GF avg2.62.02.31.31.41.3
GA total122133202343
GA avg1.01.61.31.81.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterrey WTijuana W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%68%74%78%
1.552%28%39%57%
2.544%16%22%22%
3.532%16%0%17%
4.520%4%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterrey WTijuana W
HATHAT
Clean sheets358415
Failed to score145156

Penalties

MetricMonterrey WTijuana W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMonterrey WTijuana W
Wins41
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-53-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-65-3
Goals For5533
Goals Against2565

Model comparison

MetricMonterrey WTijuana W
Form57%43%
Att61%39%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total70.3%29.8%

Advice: Double chance : Monterrey W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ 1xBet
Draw5.18 @ Pinnacle
Away7.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey W = 2.98 (league 1.66), Tijuana W = 1.06 (league 1.32)

Tijuana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey W 0 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 7.8% 8.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.8% 6.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.4% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.8% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 10.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1