Mon, Feb 9 2026 • 21:45 • Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.66) 2.17 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 20.5% 52.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
8.6%
1 - 3
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 2.8% 6.2% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.6% 9.3% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz Azul WAmérica W
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack44%100%
Defense56%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.618 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul W América W
HATHAT
Played141428151530
Wins50%36%43%73%60%67%
Draws21%29%25%13%27%20%
Loses29%36%32%13%13%13%

Form: Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDLWDWLDWL • América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWWDLWDWWWWD

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul W América W
HATHAT
GF total293463563389
GF avg2.12.42.33.72.23.0
GA total182240141630
GA avg1.31.61.40.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz Azul WAmérica W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%75%90%57%
1.554%46%80%30%
2.543%18%50%13%
3.532%4%30%0%
4.57%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz Azul WAmérica W
HATHAT
Clean sheets4378513
Failed to score303123

Penalties

MetricCruz Azul WAmérica W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total08

Streaks

MetricCruz Azul WAmérica W
Wins38
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-511-01-5
Biggest losses0-24-20-23-2
Goals For45115
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricCruz Azul WAmérica W
Form35%65%
Att31%69%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h20%80%
Goals26%74%
Total28.7%71.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or América W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ 10Bet
Draw4.45 @ 188Bet
Away1.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Betano
Under 2.52.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.72 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul W = 1.39 (league 1.66), América W = 2.17 (league 1.32)

América W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 2.8% 6.2% 6.7% 4.8% 2.6% 1.1%
1 3.9% 8.6% 9.3% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 6.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.3% 2.8% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 52.9%

vtt 4 , vtd1