Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 02:00 •
Cancha El Barrial
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.66)
1.30 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.5% | 23.0% | 27.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monterrey W | 0 | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Monterrey W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 73% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Monterrey W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 69% | 54% | 62% | 71% | 50% | 62% |
| Draws | 15% | 15% | 15% | 7% | 42% | 23% |
| Loses | 15% | 31% | 23% | 21% | 8% | 15% |
Monterrey WLWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWDLWWWWDWW
Toluca WDWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Monterrey W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 26 | 59 | 34 | 23 | 57 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 21 | 33 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Monterrey W | Toluca W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 65% | 88% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 27% | 65% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 15% | 35% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 31% | 15% | 19% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 19% | 4% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Monterrey W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Monterrey W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Monterrey W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-5 | 6-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Monterrey W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.01 @ 188Bet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away4.00 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Unibet
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League standings
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