Wed, Feb 11 2026 • 01:06 •
Estadio Corona
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.66)
1.77 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1% | 23.3% | 48.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Tijuana W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santos Laguna W | 0 | 4.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 60% |
| Attack | 9% | 82% |
| Defense | 18% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Tijuana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| Wins | 27% | 0% | 13% | 27% | 31% | 29% |
| Draws | 18% | 15% | 17% | 27% | 8% | 17% |
| Loses | 55% | 85% | 71% | 45% | 62% | 54% |
Santos Laguna WDLLWLLLLLDLLWDLWLLLLDLLL
Tijuana WDLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLLDWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Tijuana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 20 | 33 | 53 | 20 | 25 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santos Laguna W | Tijuana W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 88% | 71% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 58% | 38% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 33% | 21% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Tijuana W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 1-6 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Tijuana W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 10% | 90% |
| Att | 10% | 90% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 24% | 76% |
| Total | 23.0% | 77.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.85 @ 10Bet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away1.90 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.38 @ 888Sport
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.46 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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