Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 03:06 •
Estadio Caliente
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.65)
3.27 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.8% | 12.8% | 64.8% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.3%
1 - 4
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Cruz Azul W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tijuana W | 0 | 1.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tijuana W | Cruz Azul W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 60% | 53% |
| Defense | 47% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tijuana W | Cruz Azul W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 14 | 25 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 27% | 29% | 28% | 47% | 36% | 41% |
| Draws | 27% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 29% | 24% |
| Loses | 45% | 57% | 52% | 33% | 36% | 34% |
Tijuana WDLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLLDWLWWLD
Cruz Azul WLWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDLWDWLDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Tijuana W | Cruz Azul W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 19 | 33 | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 20 | 27 | 47 | 20 | 22 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tijuana W | Cruz Azul W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 80% | 90% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 52% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 41% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 16% | 31% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tijuana W | Cruz Azul W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tijuana W | Cruz Azul W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tijuana W | Cruz Azul W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tijuana W | Cruz Azul W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.85 @ 10Bet
Draw4.18 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ Betfair
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League standings
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