Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Akron
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.66) 1.00 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 20.6% 17.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atlas W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 4.7% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.6% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara WAtlas W
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack71%64%
Defense79%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara W Atlas W
HATHAT
Played141529121325
Wins57%60%59%33%23%28%
Draws29%7%17%17%31%24%
Loses14%33%24%50%46%48%

Form: Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWWWWWDLWDWLLWDWWWWWL • Atlas W: DLWDLDLLWWWWDLWLLLLLDLDWL

League goals

Metric Guadalajara W Atlas W
HATHAT
GF total262046231538
GF avg1.91.31.61.91.21.5
GA total151126252449
GA avg1.10.70.92.11.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara WAtlas W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%52%76%88%
1.552%28%44%68%
2.514%7%12%32%
3.57%3%12%8%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara WAtlas W
HATHAT
Clean sheets6814123
Failed to score134336

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara WAtlas W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara WAtlas W
Wins54
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-36-23-4
Biggest losses2-42-00-34-0
Goals For4364
Goals Against4244

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara WAtlas W
Form71%29%
Att53%47%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ Unibet
Draw8.20 @ Pinnacle
Away21.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ 10Bet
No1.72 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara W = 2.06 (league 1.66), Atlas W = 1.00 (league 1.32)

Atlas W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 4.7% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.6% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.8% 6.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 17.5%

vtt 11 , vtd1