Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 01:05 • Estadio Azteca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.57 (league 1.66) 1.37 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 11.7% 10.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.4%
4 - 1
6.6%
2 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.6% 6.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.4% 7.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.9% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack100%86%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric América W Monterrey W
HATHAT
Played151631141327
Wins73%63%68%71%54%63%
Draws13%25%19%14%15%15%
Loses13%13%13%14%31%22%

Form: América W: WWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWWDLWDWWWWDW • Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWDLWWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric América W Monterrey W
HATHAT
GF total563591352661
GF avg3.72.22.92.52.02.3
GA total141731122133
GA avg0.91.11.00.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmérica WMonterrey W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%58%81%63%
1.581%29%56%26%
2.548%13%41%15%
3.529%0%30%15%
4.519%0%19%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
HATHAT
Clean sheets85135510
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total82

Streaks

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
Wins84
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-01-55-00-5
Biggest losses0-23-20-25-0
Goals For11555
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricAmérica WMonterrey W
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Winner : América W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ 188Bet
Draw4.90 @ Unibet
Away7.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No2.14 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): América W = 3.57 (league 1.66), Monterrey W = 1.37 (league 1.32)

Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
América W 0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.6% 6.3% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.4% 7.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.9% 6.6% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
5 3.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 10.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1