Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 00:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.66)
3.17 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 13.7% | 63.9% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.9%
1 - 2
7.5%
1 - 4
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Pachuca W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toluca W | 0 | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Toluca W | Pachuca W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 86% | 100% |
| Defense | 50% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 21 | 4.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Toluca W | Pachuca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 71% | 46% | 59% | 64% | 85% | 74% |
| Draws | 7% | 38% | 22% | 21% | 8% | 15% |
| Loses | 21% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 11% |
Toluca WDWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWWL
Pachuca WWWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLWWLWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Toluca W | Pachuca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 23 | 57 | 41 | 49 | 90 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 15 | 16 | 31 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Toluca W | Pachuca W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 67% | 93% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 33% | 85% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 11% | 63% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 4% | 33% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 30% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Toluca W | Pachuca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Toluca W | Pachuca W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Toluca W | Pachuca W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-4 | 7-0 | 0-9 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-5 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Toluca W | Pachuca W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.62 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.65 @ Unibet
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League standings
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