Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 03:10 • Estadio El Encanto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.66) 5.32 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.9% 2.3% 52.9%
best score tips
0 - 5
9.1%
0 - 4
8.5%
0 - 3
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán W 0 0.3% 1.4% 3.6% 6.4% 8.5% 9.1%
1 0.2% 0.9% 2.4% 4.2% 5.5% 5.9%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlán WTigres UANL W
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack33%62%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
Played131225161531
Wins23%0%12%75%60%68%
Draws15%17%16%13%40%26%
Loses62%83%72%13%0%6%

Form: Mazatlán W: LLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLLWWLDLWLD • Tigres UANL W: DWWWWWLWWWWDWWWWDWDDWDWWDWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Mazatlán W Tigres UANL W
HATHAT
GF total15621513788
GF avg1.20.50.83.22.52.8
GA total373673111425
GA avg2.83.02.90.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlán WTigres UANL W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%96%90%55%
1.512%72%74%19%
2.58%52%48%6%
3.54%32%35%0%
4.54%20%16%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlán WTigres UANL W
HATHAT
Clean sheets1018614
Failed to score5611213

Penalties

MetricMazatlán WTigres UANL W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricMazatlán WTigres UANL W
Wins25
Draws12
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-09-00-7
Biggest losses0-96-02-3
Goals For5197
Goals Against9633

Model comparison

MetricMazatlán WTigres UANL W
Form33%67%
Att35%65%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total29.8%70.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Tigres UANL W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home26.00 @ William Hill
Draw17.02 @ Pinnacle
Away1.07 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.33 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán W = 0.65 (league 1.66), Tigres UANL W = 5.32 (league 1.32)

Tigres UANL W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán W 0 0.3% 1.4% 3.6% 6.4% 8.5% 9.1%
1 0.2% 0.9% 2.4% 4.2% 5.5% 5.9%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.9% · Draw 2.3% · Away win 52.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1