Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 03:06 •
Estadio Corona
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.65)
2.45 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.4% | 16.6% | 68.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
10.8%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 3
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santos Laguna W | 0 | 3.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 22% | 52% |
| Defense | 57% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 25% | 7% | 15% | 67% | 46% | 57% |
| Draws | 25% | 14% | 19% | 13% | 38% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 79% | 65% | 20% | 15% | 18% |
Santos Laguna WDLLWLLLLLDLLWDLWLLLLDLLLDW
Toluca WDWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 22 | 33 | 55 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santos Laguna W | Toluca W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 85% | 86% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 58% | 61% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 31% | 32% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 19% | 18% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 15% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 6-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santos Laguna W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 24.7% | 75.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home10.70 @ 1xBet
Draw5.55 @ Pinnacle
Away1.41 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.60 @ Betway
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.08 @ Unibet
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League standings
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