Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 02:00 •
Estadio Caliente
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.65)
2.04 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.3% | 21.4% | 50.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 1
9.1%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| León W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tijuana W | 0 | 3.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tijuana W | León W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 47% | 74% |
| Defense | 63% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tijuana W | León W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 14 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 25% | 29% | 27% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
| Draws | 33% | 14% | 23% | 31% | 15% | 23% |
| Loses | 42% | 57% | 50% | 31% | 38% | 35% |
Tijuana WDLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLLDWLWWLDD
León WDWLDLWDWWLWWLWLLWLLDDDLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Tijuana W | León W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 27 | 20 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 21 | 27 | 48 | 23 | 24 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tijuana W | León W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 81% | 77% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 58% | 50% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 19% | 31% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 15% | 12% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 12% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tijuana W | León W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tijuana W | León W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tijuana W | León W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 5-3 | 0-5 | 9-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tijuana W | León W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away3.68 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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