Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.66) 0.49 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.4% 20.5% 8.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético San Luis W 0 9.6% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 8.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético San Luis WPuebla W
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack35%29%
Defense6%24%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético San Luis W Puebla W
HATHAT
Played141327131427
Wins21%38%30%15%7%11%
Draws29%15%22%0%21%11%
Loses50%46%48%85%71%78%

Form: Atlético San Luis W: LLWLWDWWWDLDWLDLWLDLLLDLLWL • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDLLLDLLLLLLLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Atlético San Luis W Puebla W
HATHAT
GF total1518339514
GF avg1.11.41.20.70.40.5
GA total232952353974
GA avg1.62.21.92.72.82.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético San Luis WPuebla W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%81%44%93%
1.537%52%7%70%
2.515%30%0%48%
3.57%15%0%30%
4.54%11%0%19%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético San Luis WPuebla W
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score75126915

Penalties

MetricAtlético San Luis WPuebla W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAtlético San Luis WPuebla W
Wins32
Draws11
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-62-00-1
Biggest losses0-36-00-67-0
Goals For4621
Goals Against3667

Model comparison

MetricAtlético San Luis WPuebla W
Form40%60%
Att55%45%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h75%25%
Goals68%32%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Atlético San Luis W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.49 @ 188Bet
Draw6.00 @ Betfair
Away12.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Marathonbet
No2.04 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atlético San Luis W = 1.85 (league 1.66), Puebla W = 0.49 (league 1.31)

Puebla W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético San Luis W 0 9.6% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.8% 8.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.4% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 8.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1