Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 21:45 • Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.85 (league 1.66) 0.30 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.9% 4.0% 0.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.0%
4 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.5% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.1% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz Azul WNecaxa W
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack81%19%
Defense25%19%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul W Necaxa W
HATHAT
Played151631141327
Wins47%38%42%14%8%11%
Draws20%31%26%14%0%7%
Loses33%31%32%71%92%81%

Form: Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDLWDWLDWLLDW • Necaxa W: WLLDLDLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul W Necaxa W
HATHAT
GF total3041719413
GF avg2.02.62.30.60.30.5
GA total202747344175
GA avg1.31.71.52.43.22.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz Azul WNecaxa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%77%30%100%
1.552%48%15%63%
2.542%19%4%48%
3.532%6%0%37%
4.510%0%0%22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz Azul WNecaxa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets437000
Failed to score30391019

Penalties

MetricCruz Azul WNecaxa W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCruz Azul WNecaxa W
Wins31
Draws11
Losses217

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-52-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-66-0
Goals For4632
Goals Against3466

Model comparison

MetricCruz Azul WNecaxa W
Form70%30%
Att81%19%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%62%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Cruz Azul W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.05 @ William Hill
Draw17.50 @ 10Bet
Away56.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.17 @ Bet365
Under 2.55.25 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.82 @ Superbet
No1.53 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul W = 3.85 (league 1.66), Necaxa W = 0.30 (league 1.31)

Necaxa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.7% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 4.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 14.5% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.1% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.9% · Draw 4.0% · Away win 0.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1