Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio La Corregidora
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.66) 2.01 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 21.3% 57.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.9%
0 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Atlas W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Querétaro W 0 4.5% 9.1% 9.2% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2%
1 4.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.7% 5.3% 5.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQuerétaro WAtlas W
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack32%68%
Defense32%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.615 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Querétaro W Atlas W
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins15%7%11%31%21%26%
Draws31%7%19%15%29%22%
Loses54%86%70%54%50%52%

Form: Querétaro W: DLLLLDDLLLDWLWWLLLLLLLLLDLL • Atlas W: DLWDLDLLWWWWDLWLLLLLDLDWLLL

League goals

Metric Querétaro W Atlas W
HATHAT
GF total121325271744
GF avg0.90.90.92.11.21.6
GA total285078312859
GA avg2.23.62.92.42.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQuerétaro WAtlas W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%93%78%89%
1.526%70%48%70%
2.54%44%15%37%
3.50%37%15%15%
4.50%11%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQuerétaro WAtlas W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score4610336

Penalties

MetricQuerétaro WAtlas W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricQuerétaro WAtlas W
Wins24
Draws21
Losses95

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-36-23-4
Biggest losses0-711-00-34-0
Goals For2364
Goals Against71164

Model comparison

MetricQuerétaro WAtlas W
Form20%80%
Att32%68%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlas W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.34 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 10Bet
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Querétaro W = 1.08 (league 1.66), Atlas W = 2.01 (league 1.31)

Atlas W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Querétaro W 0 4.5% 9.1% 9.2% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2%
1 4.9% 9.9% 9.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.7% 5.3% 5.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 57.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1