Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 00:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.04 (league 1.66) 1.42 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 14.9% 14.7%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pumas UNAM W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.0% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.3% 7.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca WPumas UNAM W
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack56%25%
Defense69%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca W Pumas UNAM W
HATHAT
Played151429141327
Wins67%50%59%57%31%44%
Draws13%36%24%7%23%15%
Loses20%14%17%36%46%41%

Form: Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWWLDW • Pumas UNAM W: WWDWWLWWLLLWLLLDLWDWWWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Toluca W Pumas UNAM W
HATHAT
GF total352459272249
GF avg2.31.72.01.91.71.8
GA total161632172946
GA avg1.11.11.11.22.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca WPumas UNAM W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%66%93%70%
1.559%31%41%48%
2.531%10%30%26%
3.517%3%15%19%
4.57%0%4%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca WPumas UNAM W
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410628
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricToluca WPumas UNAM W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricToluca WPumas UNAM W
Wins53
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-44-00-4
Biggest losses0-22-00-25-1
Goals For6445
Goals Against3445

Model comparison

MetricToluca WPumas UNAM W
Form71%29%
Att69%31%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h29%71%
Goals32%68%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Winner : Toluca W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ 10Bet
Away5.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Toluca W = 3.04 (league 1.66), Pumas UNAM W = 1.42 (league 1.31)

Pumas UNAM W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca W 0 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 3.5% 5.0% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.3% 7.6% 5.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 14.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1