Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 22:00 •
Estadio Victoria
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.66)
2.55 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 15.3% | 70.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.4%
0 - 3
9.7%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético San Luis W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Necaxa W | 0 | 3.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Necaxa W | Atlético San Luis W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 19% | 38% |
| Defense | 31% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Necaxa W | Atlético San Luis W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 14% | 7% | 11% | 27% | 38% | 32% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 7% | 27% | 15% | 21% |
| Loses | 71% | 93% | 82% | 47% | 46% | 46% |
Necaxa WWLLDLDLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWL
Atlético San Luis WLLWLWDWWWDLDWLDLWLDLLLDLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Necaxa W | Atlético San Luis W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 34 | 44 | 78 | 23 | 29 | 52 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Necaxa W | Atlético San Luis W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 29% | 100% | 57% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 64% | 39% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 50% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 36% | 7% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 21% | 4% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Necaxa W | Atlético San Luis W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 11 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Necaxa W | Atlético San Luis W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Necaxa W | Atlético San Luis W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 17 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 6-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Necaxa W | Atlético San Luis W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home8.25 @ 10Bet
Draw5.56 @ Pinnacle
Away1.55 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Necaxa W = 0.80 (league 1.66), Atlético San Luis W = 2.55 (league 1.32)
| Atlético San Luis W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Necaxa W | 0 | 3.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 70.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1
