Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Colomos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.67) 3.48 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.7% 14.2% 54.1%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.2%
2 - 3
5.8%
1 - 4
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas W 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.3% 2.9% 2.0%
1 0.9% 3.1% 5.3% 6.2% 5.4% 3.7%
2 0.8% 2.9% 5.0% 5.8% 5.1% 3.5%
3 0.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.7% 3.2% 2.2%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlas WMonterrey W
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack67%72%
Defense28%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlas W Monterrey W
HATHAT
Played131528151530
Wins31%27%29%73%53%63%
Draws15%27%21%13%20%17%
Loses54%47%50%13%27%20%

Form: Atlas W: DLWDLDLLWWWWDLWLLLLLDLDWLLLW • Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWDLWWWWDWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Atlas W Monterrey W
HATHAT
GF total271845412970
GF avg2.11.21.62.71.92.3
GA total312859122234
GA avg2.41.92.10.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlas WMonterrey W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%83%60%
1.546%68%57%23%
2.514%36%40%13%
3.514%14%30%13%
4.54%4%20%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlas WMonterrey W
HATHAT
Clean sheets1346612
Failed to score336145

Penalties

MetricAtlas WMonterrey W
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricAtlas WMonterrey W
Wins44
Draws12
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-23-46-00-5
Biggest losses0-34-00-25-0
Goals For6465
Goals Against6425

Model comparison

MetricAtlas WMonterrey W
Form32%68%
Att48%52%
Def7%93%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h20%80%
Goals21%79%
Total27.0%73.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Monterrey W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.45 @ 1xBet
Draw5.19 @ Pinnacle
Away1.42 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlas W = 1.89 (league 1.67), Monterrey W = 3.48 (league 1.31)

Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas W 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.3% 2.9% 2.0%
1 0.9% 3.1% 5.3% 6.2% 5.4% 3.7%
2 0.8% 2.9% 5.0% 5.8% 5.1% 3.5%
3 0.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.7% 3.2% 2.2%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 54.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1