Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 21:45 • Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.41 (league 1.66) 0.80 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 9.3% 5.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.9%
2 - 0
8.7%
4 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mazatlán W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.1% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz Azul WMazatlán W
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack87%40%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul W Mazatlán W
HATHAT
Played161733151429
Wins50%41%45%20%14%17%
Draws19%29%24%20%14%17%
Loses31%29%30%60%71%66%

Form: Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDLWDWLDWLLDWWW • Mazatlán W: LLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLLWWLDLWLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul W Mazatlán W
HATHAT
GF total334376151126
GF avg2.12.52.31.00.80.9
GA total202747393877
GA avg1.31.61.42.62.72.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz Azul WMazatlán W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%55%93%
1.555%45%17%66%
2.542%18%10%45%
3.530%6%3%28%
4.59%0%3%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz Azul WMazatlán W
HATHAT
Clean sheets549202
Failed to score3037613

Penalties

MetricCruz Azul WMazatlán W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCruz Azul WMazatlán W
Wins32
Draws12
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-55-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-20-96-0
Goals For4653
Goals Against3496

Model comparison

MetricCruz Azul WMazatlán W
Form56%44%
Att68%32%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h80%20%
Goals74%26%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Winner : Cruz Azul W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Bet365
Draw10.00 @ Unibet
Away18.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ 10Bet
Under 2.54.10 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul W = 3.41 (league 1.66), Mazatlán W = 0.80 (league 1.31)

Mazatlán W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul W 0 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.1% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 9.3% · Away win 5.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1