Tue, Mar 24 2026 • 01:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.66) 1.74 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 20.0% 28.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Atlas W
0 1 2 3 4 5
León W 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.1% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeón WAtlas W
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack100%62%
Defense23%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 215 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric León W Atlas W
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins36%40%38%29%27%28%
Draws29%13%21%14%27%21%
Loses36%47%41%57%47%52%

Form: León W: DWLDLWDWWLWWLWLLWLLDDDLWWWLLL • Atlas W: DLWDLDLLWWWWDLWLLLLLDLDWLLLWL

League goals

Metric León W Atlas W
HATHAT
GF total282351271845
GF avg2.01.51.81.91.21.6
GA total263056342862
GA avg1.92.01.92.41.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeón WAtlas W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%76%86%
1.548%48%45%69%
2.528%28%14%38%
3.510%14%14%14%
4.57%10%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeón WAtlas W
HATHAT
Clean sheets336134
Failed to score246437

Penalties

MetricLeón WAtlas W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricLeón WAtlas W
Wins34
Draws31
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-36-23-4
Biggest losses0-59-00-34-0
Goals For6464
Goals Against5964

Model comparison

MetricLeón WAtlas W
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : León W or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ 188Bet
Draw5.00 @ BetVictor
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.90 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): León W = 2.28 (league 1.66), Atlas W = 1.74 (league 1.31)

Atlas W
0 1 2 3 4 5
León W 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.1% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 28.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1