Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 01:06 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.66) 1.68 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 19.1% 25.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachuca WMonterrey W
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack60%80%
Defense80%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca W Monterrey W
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins69%75%72%69%56%63%
Draws19%19%19%19%19%19%
Loses13%6%9%13%25%19%

Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLWWLWWDWWDWWDW • Monterrey W: LWWWWLWDDLWLWLWWWDLWWWWDWWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Pachuca W Monterrey W
HATHAT
GF total465399413273
GF avg2.93.33.12.62.02.3
GA total171532122234
GA avg1.10.91.00.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachuca WMonterrey W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%63%81%56%
1.581%28%56%22%
2.556%3%41%13%
3.528%3%28%13%
4.525%3%19%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachuca WMonterrey W
HATHAT
Clean sheets75127714
Failed to score112246

Penalties

MetricPachuca WMonterrey W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricPachuca WMonterrey W
Wins64
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-96-00-5
Biggest losses0-51-00-25-0
Goals For7965
Goals Against5225

Model comparison

MetricPachuca WMonterrey W
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Pachuca W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ 188Bet
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 2.44 (league 1.66), Monterrey W = 1.68 (league 1.31)

Monterrey W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
1 3.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.8% 8.1% 6.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.6% 5.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
5 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 25.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1