Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 02:00 •
Estadio El Encanto
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.67)
3.18 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | 10.1% | 74.4% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.9%
0 - 2
10.3%
0 - 4
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazatlán W | 0 | 2.0% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 38% | 85% |
| Defense | 62% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| Wins | 20% | 13% | 17% | 71% | 47% | 59% |
| Draws | 20% | 13% | 17% | 12% | 33% | 22% |
| Loses | 60% | 73% | 67% | 18% | 20% | 19% |
Form: Mazatlán W: LLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLLWWLDLWLDDWLWL • Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWWLDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 44 | 24 | 68 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 39 | 39 | 78 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GA avg | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mazatlán W | Toluca W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 93% | 84% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 63% | 59% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 43% | 34% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 27% | 22% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 17% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 6-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-9 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mazatlán W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 7% | 93% |
| Total | 30.6% | 69.4% |
Advice: Winner : Toluca W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán W = 0.72 (league 1.67), Toluca W = 3.18 (league 1.31)
| Toluca W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazatlán W | 0 | 2.0% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.2% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 74.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1