Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 21:45 •
Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1
Expected Goals
3.25 (league 1.66)
0.27 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.3% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
16.9%
2 - 0
15.6%
4 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cruz Azul W | 0 | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cruz Azul W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 0% |
| Attack | 100% | 8% |
| Defense | 58% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cruz Azul W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 53% | 41% | 47% | 14% | 7% | 10% |
| Draws | 18% | 29% | 24% | 0% | 20% | 10% |
| Loses | 29% | 29% | 29% | 86% | 73% | 79% |
Form: Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDLWDWLDWLLDWWWW • Puebla W: LLLLLLDLLWDLLLDLLLLLLLWWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Cruz Azul W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 43 | 77 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 20 | 27 | 47 | 37 | 41 | 78 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cruz Azul W | Puebla W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 71% | 41% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 44% | 7% | 72% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 18% | 0% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 6% | 0% | 28% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cruz Azul W | Puebla W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cruz Azul W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cruz Azul W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-6 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cruz Azul W | Puebla W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 93% | 7% |
| Def | 76% | 24% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 65% | 35% |
| Total | 77.2% | 22.8% |
Advice: Winner : Cruz Azul W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul W = 3.25 (league 1.66), Puebla W = 0.27 (league 1.31)
| Puebla W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cruz Azul W | 0 | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.3% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 1.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1