Tue, Mar 31 2026 • 23:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.66) 2.21 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 20.4% 48.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Toluca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
León W 0 2.1% 4.7% 5.2% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9%
1 3.5% 7.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.3% 7.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.6% 3.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeón WToluca W
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack50%72%
Defense39%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric León W Toluca W
HATHAT
Played151631171633
Wins40%38%39%71%50%61%
Draws27%13%19%12%31%21%
Loses33%50%42%18%19%18%

Form: León W: DWLDLWDWWLWWLWLLWLLDDDLWWWLLLWL • Toluca W: DWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWWLDWWLWW

League goals

Metric León W Toluca W
HATHAT
GF total322456442771
GF avg2.11.51.82.61.72.2
GA total263258192039
GA avg1.72.01.91.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeón WToluca W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%77%85%70%
1.548%48%61%36%
2.529%26%36%9%
3.513%13%21%3%
4.56%10%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeón WToluca W
HATHAT
Clean sheets4376410
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricLeón WToluca W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricLeón WToluca W
Wins35
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-36-01-4
Biggest losses0-59-00-22-0
Goals For6464
Goals Against5934

Model comparison

MetricLeón WToluca W
Form20%80%
Att41%59%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h15%85%
Goals17%83%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Toluca W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Betfair
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away1.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.50 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): León W = 1.64 (league 1.66), Toluca W = 2.21 (league 1.31)

Toluca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
León W 0 2.1% 4.7% 5.2% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9%
1 3.5% 7.7% 8.5% 6.3% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.9% 6.3% 7.0% 5.1% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.6% 3.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 48.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1