Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.66)
3.06 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.7% | 13.0% | 68.2% |
best score tips
1 - 3
8.2%
1 - 2
8.1%
0 - 3
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cruz Azul W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético San Luis W | 0 | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético San Luis W | Cruz Azul W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 28% | 89% |
| Defense | 44% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético San Luis W | Cruz Azul W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 15 | 31 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 32% | 56% | 41% | 49% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 23% | 17% | 29% | 23% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 45% | 28% | 29% | 29% |
Form: Atlético San Luis W: LLWLWDWWWDLDWLDLWLDLLLDLLWLWDLW • Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWLWLWDWWWDLWDLWDWLDWLLDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Atlético San Luis W | Cruz Azul W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 38 | 43 | 81 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 25 | 31 | 56 | 20 | 27 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético San Luis W | Cruz Azul W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 81% | 91% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 48% | 54% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 26% | 43% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 13% | 31% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 10% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético San Luis W | Cruz Azul W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético San Luis W | Cruz Azul W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético San Luis W | Cruz Azul W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-6 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético San Luis W | Cruz Azul W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 24% | 76% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 26.7% | 73.3% |
Advice: Winner : Cruz Azul W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético San Luis W = 1.06 (league 1.66), Cruz Azul W = 3.06 (league 1.31)
| Cruz Azul W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético San Luis W | 0 | 1.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.7% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 68.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1