Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 01:06 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.65) 1.26 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.8% 12.8% 10.8%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 1
7.3%
4 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
León W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.8% 7.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachuca WLeón W
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack64%100%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca W León W
HATHAT
Played171734161632
Wins65%76%71%38%38%38%
Draws18%18%18%31%13%22%
Loses18%6%12%31%50%41%

Form: Pachuca W: WWDLWDWWWWWWDWWWWWLWWLWWDWWDWWDWLW • León W: DWLDLWDWWLWWLWLLWLLDDDLWWWLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Pachuca W León W
HATHAT
GF total4655101352459
GF avg2.73.23.02.21.51.8
GA total181634293261
GA avg1.10.91.01.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachuca WLeón W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%65%81%78%
1.579%26%50%50%
2.553%3%31%28%
3.526%3%13%13%
4.524%3%6%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachuca WLeón W
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512437
Failed to score213246

Penalties

MetricPachuca WLeón W
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricPachuca WLeón W
Wins63
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-96-00-3
Biggest losses0-51-00-59-0
Goals For7964
Goals Against5259

Model comparison

MetricPachuca WLeón W
Form71%29%
Att39%61%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals81%19%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Double chance : Pachuca W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.23 @ Unibet
Draw7.10 @ Marathonbet
Away12.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.27 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.90 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca W = 3.27 (league 1.65), León W = 1.26 (league 1.31)

León W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca W 0 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.5% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.8% 7.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.3% 7.9% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.5% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 10.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1