Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 03:00 •
Estadio Caliente
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.65)
0.84 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.1% | 21.0% | 15.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
11.8%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Mazatlán W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tijuana W | 0 | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tijuana W | Mazatlán W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 92% | 38% |
| Defense | 62% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tijuana W | Mazatlán W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 31% | 35% | 33% | 18% | 13% | 15% |
| Draws | 31% | 12% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 15% |
| Loses | 38% | 53% | 45% | 65% | 75% | 70% |
Tijuana WDLLDLLLLWDWLWLLWLLDWLWWLDDWLWWDLW
Mazatlán WLLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLLWWLDLWLDDWLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Tijuana W | Mazatlán W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 28 | 48 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 26 | 30 | 56 | 43 | 40 | 83 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tijuana W | Mazatlán W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 82% | 52% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 52% | 18% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 15% | 9% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 12% | 3% | 24% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 6% | 3% | 15% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tijuana W | Mazatlán W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tijuana W | Mazatlán W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tijuana W | Mazatlán W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-6 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 5-3 | 0-9 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tijuana W | Mazatlán W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 81% | 19% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.25 @ William Hill
Draw6.11 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ Betfair
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League standings
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