USL Championship
— USA
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 02:00 •
Championship Soccer Stadium
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.18)
0.27 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.7% | 29.3% | 7.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.1%
0 - 0
21.3%
2 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| New Mexico United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Orange County SC | 0 | 21.3% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Orange County SC | New Mexico United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 86% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Orange County SC | New Mexico United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 67% |
Orange County SCDDWW
New Mexico UnitedLLW
League goals
| Metric | Orange County SC | New Mexico United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Orange County SC | New Mexico United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Orange County SC | New Mexico United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Orange County SC | New Mexico United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Orange County SC | New Mexico United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Orange County SC | New Mexico United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.45 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.91 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.18 @ Betano
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League standings
Loading standings…