USL Championship
— USA
Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 02:00 •
Heart Health Park
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.18)
1.09 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | 24.4% | 24.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Phoenix Rising | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sacramento Republic | 0 | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 25% |
| Attack | 50% | 63% |
| Defense | 63% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Sacramento RepublicWDDL
Phoenix RisingLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sacramento Republic | Phoenix Rising |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 56.2% | 44.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.75 @ Dafabet
Draw3.76 @ Pinnacle
Away5.09 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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