USL Championship
— USA
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 02:30 •
Cashman Field
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.18)
2.61 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | 12.6% | 77.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.0%
0 - 3
13.1%
0 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sacramento Republic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Las Vegas Lights | 0 | 4.4% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 67% | 50% |
| Defense | 17% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 100% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 60% | 25% | 0% | 20% |
Las Vegas LightsDLLWL
Sacramento RepublicWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 0 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 80% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 60% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 31.2% | 68.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.41 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.36 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.82 @ Betano
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League standings
Loading standings…