League Cup — England
Tue, Jan 13 2026 • 20:00 • St James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.36) 1.22 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 28.8% 41.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 11.0% 13.4% 8.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.3% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 5.4% 6.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleManchester City
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack57%50%
Defense86%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.77 | 2.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.71 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Manchester City
HATHAT
Played303123
Wins100%—100%100%100%100%
Draws0%—0%0%0%0%
Loses0%—0%0%0%0%
NewcastleWWW
Manchester CityWWW

League goals

Metric Newcastle Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total808257
GF avg2.70.02.72.02.52.3
GA total202011
GA avg0.70.00.70.00.50.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%33%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNewcastleManchester City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewcastleManchester City
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-01-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For4023
Goals Against1001

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleManchester City
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total40.3%59.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Dafabet
Draw3.74 @ 1xBet
Away2.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.77 @ 188Bet
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League standings

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