League Cup — England
Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 20:00 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.55) 0.40 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 29.3% 11.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.9%
0 - 0
18.6%
2 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 18.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityNewcastle
Played44
Form100%75%
Attack64%57%
Defense93%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.38 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Newcastle
HATHAT
Played134404
Wins100%100%100%75%—75%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses0%0%0%25%—25%

Form: Manchester City: WWWW • Newcastle: WWWL

League goals

Metric Manchester City Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total279808
GF avg2.02.32.32.00.02.0
GA total011404
GA avg0.00.30.31.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%75%75%
1.5100%0%75%25%
2.525%0%25%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricManchester CityNewcastle
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricManchester CityNewcastle
Wins43
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-1—
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For2340
Goals Against0120

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityNewcastle
Form57%43%
Att53%47%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals77%23%
Total67.6%32.4%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 1xBet
Draw4.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 1.29 (league 1.55), Newcastle = 0.40 (league 1.52)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 18.6% 7.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.9% 9.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 6.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 11.3%

vtt 5 , vtd1