Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 20:15 • Estadio Manuel Marques
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.67) 1.85 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 22.8% 51.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torreense 0 4.8% 8.8% 8.1% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.3% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorreenseUnião de Leiria
Played44
Form100%100%
Attack50%69%
Defense81%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 211 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torreense União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played134134
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Torreense: WWWW • União de Leiria: WWWW

League goals

Metric Torreense União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total2683811
GF avg2.02.02.03.02.72.8
GA total123235
GA avg1.00.70.82.01.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorreenseUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%75%
1.575%0%75%50%
2.525%0%75%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorreenseUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricTorreenseUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricTorreenseUnião de Leiria
Wins44
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-22-4
Biggest losses
Goals For2334
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricTorreenseUnião de Leiria
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total48.2%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : Torreense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.80 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torreense = 1.20 (league 1.67), União de Leiria = 1.85 (league 1.46)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torreense 0 4.8% 8.8% 8.1% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 3.4% 6.3% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 51.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1